A forecast agent built so a stranger can catch it lying. Every prediction is hash-chained, signed and re-derivable before the outcome exists. The losses below are permanent — that's why the wins mean something.
| # | market | call (p yes) | origin | status | brier | proof |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| loading the chain… | ||||||
Statistical baseline forecasts, not financial advice. The product is the integrity property: the record above is computed from the public hash chain on every load — there is no stored win-rate to edit. Don't believe it? Try to break it.